Create
a reflection blog based on critically thinking about how the Cynefin Framework
can benefit your decision-making. Consider the chart on page 7 of the HBR
article A Leader's Framework for Decision Making and discuss
decision-making in multiple contexts; include two specific examples of
decisions in multiple contexts that you have made. Detail the considerations
from the various contexts that influenced your decision. Critically
assess the Cynefin Framework and describe 5 ways it can provide an improved
context for decision making.
Cynefin means
"habitat or place" along with a place of actual belongings: cultural,
religious, geographic, tribal etc; complexity model for a complex system; many
paths influence who you are but never know fully who you are. The model emerges
from data in social process. At the center (heart) of the model is
"disorder" and is the space of not knowing what space you are
actually in and need be in. Most people and organizations are in a disorder
state assessing a problem scenario based on a preference for action, i.e.,
asking the question which knowledge expert should we use for the four
categories.
There are
three basic systems: ordered, complex and chaotic. Add a new center (heart)
category called disorder. Disorder is the space of not knowing what space you
are in, i.e., where we organizations are most of the time. Then divide disorder
into two categories: simple and complicated. Manage in complex and complicated
categories and only move a small amount of material into simple because it is
highly vulnerable to rapid and accelerated change.
A Categorization
model is a standard management consulting recommendation 2x2 quadrant matrix
identifying two variables with high and low categories. This model is good for
exploitation, however, poor for exploration and change. Also, this approach is
taught and emphasized in most MBA programs and business schools. The biggest
weakness and downfall is the inability to see differences until it is too late
and then will be locked out. The model precedes the data.
The
Cynefin model is a sensemaking model and the data precedes the model. Cynefin is
also a decision making framework that recognizes the causal differences that
exist between system types. It is also fast and easy way to move flip from
systems and use the appropriate method for the appropriate domain. It is an
ordered system that is simple, predictable and determined in advance. Manage in
complex and complicated categories and only move a small amount of material
into simple because it is highly vulnerable to rapid and accelerated change. Use
a divergent approach depending on what space you're in. Think and analyze
differently instead of "one size fits all" paradigm which is usually
taught and emphasized in management theory.
From a
critical thinking perspective, beware of complacency, biases and traps.
Complacency includes "comfort zones," not thinking outside the box, past
successes along with paradigms and framing. Leaders know how to identify with
each Cynefin context in addition to changing behavior actions to match.
Depending on what space you are in, think analyze differently instead of "one
size fits all" which is emphasized in management theory and business
schools.
The
Simple category includes bureaucratic and failure of the process (problem). It
is fact-based management with knowns, fact-based management and clear cause-and-effect.
The leader's job is to use best practices and ensure processes are in place.
Danger signals are complacency and comfort zones.
The
Complicated category uses good practices from knowledge experts analysis. There
is usually more than one right answer. It is also fact and data driven. The
leader's job is to listen to multiple (sometimes conflicting) recommendations
and make a decision. Danger signals include getting bogged down by
paralysis-by-analysis.
The
Complex category includes emergent best practices with many competing ideas.
There is a need for creative and innovative approaches. For example,
politicians and military battlefield commanders get groups of the right people
together to solve problems generating a right solution with path forward. The
leader's job is to create environments and experiments that allow patterns to
emerge and use methods that can help generate ideas. Danger signals are
potentially falling back into command-and-control and looking for data facts
instead of solutions.
The Chaotic
category is characterized by high turbulence, tension, unknowns and no clear
cause-and-effect. The leader's job is to look for what works instead of seeking
the right answers and take immediate action to reestablish control of the
situation. Danger signals are using command-and-control longer than needed and
missed opportunities for innovation.
For my
personal style, I usually operate in the Complicated and Complex and only move
a small amount of material down into the Simple and Chaotic categories. This is
because my professional role responsibility as a kaizen leader and black belt includes
six sigma lean manufacturing processes with team, process, ideas and facts data
driven focus. This includes best practices, emergent, novel, new, unique,
different and simulations.
References:
Snowden,
David J. and Boone, Mary E. (November 2007). A Leader's Framework for Decision
Making. Harvard Business Review.
Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Publishing.
What
is the Cynefin Framework (2016). Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University -
Worldwide.